Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 1-4
Palencia vs Marino de Luanco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
CFP
5 - 0
CDL
64%
20%
16%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
STM
0 - 0
CFP
36%
26%
38%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
CFP
3 - 0
VAL
51%
25%
24%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
CAB
3 - 0
CFP
26%
27%
47%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -3 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
CFP
1 - 0
BAÑ
57%
23%
20%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Marino de Luanco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
MAR
2 - 0
ZAM
25%
28%
47%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
NAI
1 - 0
MAR
25%
26%
49%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
MAR
0 - 2
UPL
62%
22%
17%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
ROB
1 - 2
MAR
46%
26%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
MAR
1 - 2
RIB
78%
15%
7%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |