Palencia vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
22.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
TAL
0 - 0
CFP
53%
27%
20%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
CFP
1 - 0
CUL
32%
28%
40%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
MIR
1 - 0
CFP
60%
24%
16%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
CFP
3 - 2
ATB
30%
29%
41%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
ZAM
1 - 1
CFP
68%
20%
12%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
CDT
2 - 1
RMC
27%
28%
45%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
ALC
3 - 0
CDT
48%
28%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
CDT
0 - 1
ALC
37%
28%
35%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
UDC
1 - 0
CDT
37%
28%
35%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
SSR
3 - 4
CDT
45%
28%
27%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |