Copa Federacion 1/16
Global 0-2
Palencia vs CD Burgalés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
6.6%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CFP
1 - 0
CDG
49%
27%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ACF
0 - 0
CFP
33%
29%
38%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CFP
0 - 5
ALA
35%
28%
37%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
RUN
3 - 1
CFP
55%
26%
20%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CFP
0 - 0
RSO
54%
26%
20%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |