Palencia vs CD Alfaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
GIM
1 - 5
CFP
50%
29%
21%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
CFP
0 - 0
BAR
47%
28%
25%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
ALA
2 - 0
CFP
59%
24%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
CFP
2 - 2
RSO
47%
26%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
AMU
1 - 2
CFP
63%
23%
15%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
ALF
1 - 1
MIR
46%
27%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
CUL
4 - 3
ALF
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
ALF
2 - 1
LOG
45%
26%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
ATH
2 - 1
ALF
53%
25%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
GIM
1 - 0
ALF
42%
29%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |