Palencia vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
31.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
ALF
0 - 1
CFP
42%
29%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
CFP
5 - 2
ZAL
55%
26%
20%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
LEM
1 - 0
CFP
48%
29%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
CFP
0 - 1
CDU
52%
26%
22%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
BAR
1 - 0
CFP
41%
30%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2006 |
SES
0 - 1
BUR
43%
28%
29%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
BUR
0 - 0
VAL
56%
26%
17%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2006 |
LEV
1 - 0
BUR
47%
27%
26%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
BUR
0 - 1
LEV
40%
28%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
RAC
1 - 1
BUR
42%
28%
30%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |