Palencia vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
25.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
OSA
1 - 2
CFP
39%
30%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
CFP
0 - 0
HUE
38%
30%
32%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
LOG
2 - 1
CFP
42%
29%
30%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
CFP
0 - 1
CDG
47%
28%
25%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
LEM
0 - 2
CFP
49%
29%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
ATH
2 - 1
PEÑ
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
UBC
0 - 0
ATH
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
ATH
2 - 0
BUR
36%
29%
35%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
LOG
0 - 1
ATH
39%
29%
33%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
ATH
0 - 1
BAR
41%
28%
31%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |