Palencia vs Arandina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ALA
2 - 0
CFP
71%
19%
10%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CFP
0 - 1
RUN
33%
28%
39%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
RSO
3 - 0
CFP
39%
28%
34%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CFP
1 - 1
OSA
36%
28%
36%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
GIM
1 - 1
CFP
46%
28%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arandina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ACF
2 - 2
SDA
24%
26%
50%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SEG
1 - 2
ACF
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ACF
0 - 2
ZAM
27%
28%
45%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CDG
3 - 2
ACF
61%
23%
16%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
EIB
4 - 0
ACF
68%
21%
12%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |