Palencia vs SD Amorebieta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
36.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
SEG
1 - 1
CFP
29%
28%
44%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CFP
1 - 0
ZAM
38%
29%
33%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CDG
0 - 1
CFP
55%
26%
19%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
CFP
1 - 0
ACF
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ALA
2 - 0
CFP
71%
19%
10%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
SD Amorebieta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
EIB
0 - 0
SDA
61%
23%
16%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SDA
3 - 1
SEG
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ZAM
2 - 1
SDA
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
SDA
1 - 0
CDG
45%
27%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ACF
2 - 2
SDA
24%
26%
50%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |