Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 5-2
Palencia vs SD Almazán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
SDA
1 - 4
CFP
35%
29%
36%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
PON
0 - 1
CFP
51%
27%
22%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
CFP
1 - 0
MST
52%
27%
20%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
CDO
1 - 0
CFP
49%
28%
23%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
CFP
1 - 0
ALC
64%
23%
13%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
SD Almazán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
SDA
1 - 4
CFP
35%
29%
36%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
SDA
1 - 1
MED
63%
22%
15%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
ATB
1 - 2
SDA
50%
25%
25%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
SDA
0 - 1
VAL
34%
26%
40%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
LER
1 - 1
SDA
46%
26%
28%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |