Palencia vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
24.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
CAD
3 - 1
PAL
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
PAL
0 - 1
MAL
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1981 |
ALA
1 - 0
PAL
56%
25%
20%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1981 |
PAL
0 - 0
BAR
51%
26%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1981 |
GRA
2 - 0
PAL
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
OVI
1 - 0
RMC
45%
29%
27%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
GDE
1 - 2
OVI
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1981 |
OVI
0 - 0
AGD
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1981 |
SAB
0 - 1
OVI
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1981 |
ATM
3 - 0
OVI
83%
11%
6%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | -1 |