Palencia B vs Castilla Dueñas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
65%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palencia B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
PAL
3 - 3
SAL
16%
19%
65%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 0
PAL
55%
19%
25%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BAL
7 - 1
PAL
80%
12%
8%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
MON
3 - 0
PAL
87%
9%
4%
|
6 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 1
GUA
29%
20%
51%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Castilla Dueñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
CDF
1 - 3
CAS
62%
19%
19%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 2
SAL
39%
24%
37%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
VDB
2 - 2
CAS
45%
23%
33%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 1
VIL
85%
10%
5%
|
14 | 6 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
UDB
2 - 4
CAS
16%
18%
66%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | 0 |