Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 1-4
Palafrugell vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
58.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palafrugell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1933 |
PAL
3 - 0
GIM
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
GIM
1 - 1
PAL
72%
15%
12%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1933 |
SAN
0 - 2
PAL
62%
19%
19%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 1933 |
PAL
2 - 1
BAD
28%
23%
49%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | +4 |
| 08 Jan. 1933 |
PAL
1 - 1
SAB
21%
21%
58%
|
27 | 61 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1933 |
MUR
7 - 0
REC
69%
16%
15%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
REC
3 - 1
MUR
42%
22%
36%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
CEL
1 - 2
MUR
62%
19%
19%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
MUR
2 - 1
RUN
43%
21%
36%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1933 |
ATM
4 - 2
MUR
69%
16%
15%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |