Paksi FC vs Újpest FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
2º
7º
2º
10
4º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
15 | 60 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 56 |
2º
|
18.5% | |
|
1º
|
15 | 55 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 50 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 48 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 47 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
3º
|
10 | 46 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 45 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 45 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 41 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 31 |
11º
|
41% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 24 |
12º
|
71.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
26.5% | 3% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
34.5% | 14.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
38.5% | 77.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paksi FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
AEK
0 - 2
PAK
40%
23%
38%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
DIO
2 - 2
PAK
28%
23%
49%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
PAK
3 - 0
AEK
52%
23%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
HUN
0 - 2
PAK
24%
20%
56%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
PAK
0 - 4
HUN
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Újpest FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
UJP
1 - 2
PUS
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
AHL
1 - 0
UJP
22%
21%
57%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
UJP
1 - 0
SKN
55%
21%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
WAL
1 - 1
UJP
37%
24%
39%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
VAS
4 - 3
UJP
48%
23%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |