Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 5-0
Paksi FC vs UE Santa Coloma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
13.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paksi FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
UES
0 - 1
PAK
25%
22%
53%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
MTK
3 - 4
PAK
39%
27%
35%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
PAK
3 - 0
VAS
62%
22%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2011 |
BFC
1 - 3
PAK
30%
28%
43%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
PAK
2 - 1
UJP
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
UE Santa Coloma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
UES
0 - 1
PAK
25%
22%
53%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
UES
1 - 3
SJU
20%
20%
61%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
LUS
1 - 2
UES
41%
22%
36%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
UES
2 - 1
LUS
41%
23%
36%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
UES
4 - 0
CAS
87%
9%
4%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |