Paksi FC vs Puskás Akadémia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
26.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
3º
7º
3º
35
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 58 |
1º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
35 | 54 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
28 | 53 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 53 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 52 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 50 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 46 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 38 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 37 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 34 |
11º
|
27.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 33 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
10.5% | 18.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
29.5% | 37.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
60% | 44% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paksi FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
PAK
0 - 3
MBO
44%
22%
34%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
MBO
2 - 2
PAK
47%
21%
31%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PAK
2 - 1
NYI
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 2
PAK
14%
17%
69%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ZTE
3 - 1
PAK
27%
23%
51%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Puskás Akadémia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
PUS
1 - 1
FIO
18%
23%
59%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
FIO
3 - 3
PUS
79%
14%
7%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PUS
1 - 0
MTK
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
PUS
3 - 3
AVA
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
PUS
3 - 1
NYI
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |