Paksi SE vs MTK Budapest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
11.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
6º
2º
44
2º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paksi SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
BUD
2 - 2
PAK
12%
15%
74%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
PAK
3 - 1
VAR
67%
20%
14%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ZTE
2 - 5
PAK
21%
21%
58%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
KTE
1 - 1
PAK
27%
22%
51%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
PAK
2 - 1
MEZ
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
MTK Budapest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
ESM
0 - 4
MTK
7%
13%
80%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MEZ
1 - 0
MTK
43%
24%
33%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MTK
0 - 5
PUS
30%
26%
44%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FHV
3 - 0
MTK
54%
23%
24%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
MTK
1 - 6
FTC
22%
24%
54%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |