Paksi SE II vs Fehérvár II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
28.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
10º
8º
25
7º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
99% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
92% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
13º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
46% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
15º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
58.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 27.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 72.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paksi SE II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
NAG
2 - 1
PAK
73%
15%
12%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
PAK
2 - 0
FCD
28%
20%
52%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +3 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
GVC
3 - 0
PAK
38%
23%
40%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PAK
2 - 4
PTE
58%
20%
23%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SZE
1 - 0
PAK
82%
12%
5%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Fehérvár II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
MOL
0 - 0
MHC
61%
20%
19%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
NAG
4 - 2
MOL
70%
16%
14%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MOL
4 - 0
DUN
52%
22%
25%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FCD
1 - 1
MOL
62%
19%
19%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MOL
1 - 2
IVA
8%
16%
76%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | 0 |