Pakhtakor vs Surkhon Termez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
9º
4º
25
5º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 49 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 45 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 41 |
3º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 39 |
4º
|
37.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 35 |
5º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 33 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 31 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 29 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 28 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 27 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 26 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 26 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 22 |
13º
|
48.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 18 |
14º
|
83.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
4.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pakhtakor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PAK
3 - 1
FKL
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
BUN
0 - 1
PAK
33%
24%
43%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
NAS
1 - 0
PAK
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ORO
0 - 1
PAK
15%
20%
65%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
NEF
0 - 2
PAK
40%
28%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Surkhon Termez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
AND
2 - 3
TER
51%
25%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
TER
1 - 0
QIZ
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
TER
3 - 1
XOR
62%
21%
18%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
MET
1 - 1
TER
35%
26%
39%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
FKO
2 - 0
TER
45%
27%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |