Pakhtakor vs Sogdiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
12º
1º
27
8º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
100% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pakhtakor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
PAK
3 - 1
QIZ
56%
24%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MET
1 - 3
PAK
28%
27%
45%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
PAK
2 - 1
NAV
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
NEF
2 - 1
PAK
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
PAK
2 - 3
FKO
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sogdiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SOG
2 - 2
MET
51%
27%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NAV
3 - 0
SOG
40%
29%
31%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SOG
0 - 2
NEF
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
SOG
2 - 2
FKO
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SOG
0 - 1
BUN
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |