Cup Last 16
Global 3-2
Pakhtakor vs Shurtan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pakhtakor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2015 |
PAK
3 - 1
MAS
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
DSA
0 - 1
PAK
36%
29%
35%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2015 |
SHO
2 - 1
PAK
51%
23%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
PAK
1 - 0
BUN
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
SOG
0 - 3
PAK
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Shurtan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
SHO
0 - 4
FKL
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
MAS
1 - 2
SHO
45%
27%
29%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2015 |
SHO
2 - 1
PAK
51%
23%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
QIZ
3 - 1
SHO
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
SHO
4 - 1
BUX
59%
22%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |