Pakhtakor vs Esteghlal Tehran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
30.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pakhtakor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
PAK
1 - 0
BUX
60%
21%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SOG
1 - 2
PAK
25%
27%
48%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
EST
4 - 2
PAK
63%
20%
16%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
PAK
0 - 0
NAS
58%
23%
18%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2011 |
PAK
1 - 0
NEF
62%
22%
17%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Esteghlal Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
RAH
0 - 1
EST
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
EST
1 - 2
TRA
58%
24%
19%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
EST
4 - 2
PAK
63%
20%
16%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
PER
0 - 1
EST
51%
26%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
EST
2 - 0
SAB
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |