Pakhtakor vs Buxoro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
12º
1º
15
6º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
100% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pakhtakor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
FKT
0 - 1
PAK
30%
28%
42%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
PAK
1 - 0
SOG
59%
21%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
OLM
1 - 2
PAK
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
PAK
2 - 1
SOG
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
PAK
3 - 1
QIZ
56%
24%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Buxoro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2023 |
FKY
0 - 1
BUX
17%
23%
61%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
BUX
1 - 0
MET
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
BUX
2 - 2
NEF
26%
27%
46%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
FKO
1 - 0
BUX
55%
26%
20%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
BUX
1 - 1
FKT
37%
24%
40%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |