Pakhtakor vs Bunyodkor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
9º
4º
19
12º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 49 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 45 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 42 |
3º
|
56% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 39 |
4º
|
52.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 33 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 33 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 33 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 29 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 28 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 27 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 25 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 25 |
12º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 23 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 18 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 45.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 19.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 35% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pakhtakor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
OLM
4 - 2
PAK
55%
23%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
PAK
0 - 0
NAV
53%
25%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
AND
1 - 3
PAK
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
PAK
1 - 1
NAS
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
PAK
1 - 1
QIZ
60%
23%
18%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bunyodkor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
BUN
1 - 1
FKO
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
MET
0 - 0
BUN
40%
27%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
BUN
0 - 3
NEF
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SOG
4 - 0
BUN
46%
27%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
BUN
3 - 2
FKL
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |