Paju Citizen vs Busan Transportation analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paju Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
SIH
4 - 2
PAJ
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
PAJ
1 - 2
GIM
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
MOK
0 - 0
PAJ
28%
27%
45%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
YAN
3 - 2
PAJ
22%
25%
53%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
PAJ
4 - 2
YAN
66%
22%
13%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Busan Transportation
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
BUS
1 - 1
DAE
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
CHU
1 - 0
BUS
46%
26%
27%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
BUS
0 - 1
GAN
57%
23%
19%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
BUS
2 - 2
GYE
38%
27%
36%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
BUS
0 - 1
CHA
36%
28%
36%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |