Paju Citizen vs Namyangju United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
33.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paju Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
GYE
1 - 0
PAJ
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
PAJ
0 - 1
MOK
39%
26%
34%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
PAJ
4 - 0
YAN
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
YAN
1 - 1
PAJ
27%
27%
46%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
DAE
1 - 0
PAJ
32%
28%
40%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Namyangju United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
NAU
6 - 6
SEO
77%
13%
10%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
NAU
1 - 3
GGW
32%
22%
46%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
JCM
5 - 0
NAU
42%
21%
37%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
ICH
10 - 0
NAU
89%
8%
3%
|
36 | 68 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
JEM
6 - 2
NAU
70%
17%
13%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |