Copa del Rey 1/512
Global 3-2
Paiporta vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paiporta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
IBI
1 - 0
PAI
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
PAI
5 - 0
MNC
64%
19%
16%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
BEN
3 - 2
PAI
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
OLI
3 - 1
PAI
23%
23%
54%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | -3 |
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
PAI
3 - 0
VIL
74%
16%
10%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
CDB
1 - 0
NOV
59%
22%
19%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
NOV
4 - 2
ELD
46%
24%
29%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
ALC
3 - 2
NOV
86%
10%
4%
|
30 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
NOV
2 - 1
CFC
28%
27%
45%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +3 |
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
ALB
2 - 0
NOV
69%
19%
12%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |