Paina Calcio 1975 vs Brugherio 1968 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
31.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paina Calcio 1975
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ACA
2 - 3
PAI
25%
22%
53%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
PAI
2 - 2
REA
44%
24%
32%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
BRE
3 - 1
PAI
33%
24%
43%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
NIB
2 - 0
PAI
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
PAI
3 - 1
VER
41%
23%
36%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Brugherio 1968
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
BRU
1 - 1
ALZ
19%
22%
59%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 0
BRU
70%
17%
13%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
BRU
1 - 1
REA
44%
24%
32%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
BRU
1 - 0
BRE
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 0
BRU
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |