Paide vs Narva Trans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
2º
4º
3º
32
5º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 84 |
1º
|
99% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 72 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 69 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 69 |
4º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 43 |
5º
|
61% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 40 |
6º
|
38.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
34.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 35 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 32 |
9º
|
63% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 22 |
10º
|
94.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
51.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
48.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
PAI
4 - 3
KUR
72%
18%
11%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
TAL
3 - 2
PAI
26%
25%
49%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PAI
7 - 2
NOM
70%
18%
12%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
KAL
2 - 4
PAI
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TAM
1 - 3
PAI
21%
26%
54%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
NOM
0 - 4
TRA
46%
24%
30%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
TRA
1 - 1
FLO
22%
25%
53%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TRA
6 - 1
TSA
83%
12%
5%
|
63 | 13 | 50 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TRA
0 - 1
TAM
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KUR
0 - 1
TRA
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |