Paide vs Narva Trans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.9%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
4.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
3º
7º
3º
38
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
FLO
2 - 3
PAI
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
PAI
1 - 0
FSM
87%
9%
4%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
KUR
2 - 0
PAI
22%
22%
56%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
HON
4 - 0
PAI
40%
25%
36%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
LEV
1 - 1
PAI
51%
23%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
KAL
0 - 0
TRA
71%
17%
11%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
TAL
0 - 1
TRA
40%
23%
38%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 2
FSM
40%
24%
37%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
FLO
4 - 2
TRA
78%
14%
8%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
FCE
0 - 3
TRA
39%
24%
38%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |