Paide vs Narva Trans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
30.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
TIN
1 - 2
PAI
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
PAI
1 - 2
TAM
65%
19%
16%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
KUR
1 - 0
PAI
34%
27%
39%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
PAI
4 - 1
KUR
78%
14%
8%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
SIK
3 - 1
PAI
76%
17%
7%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
TRA
0 - 2
KAL
16%
23%
62%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
TAL
0 - 4
TRA
34%
24%
42%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2013 |
FLO
2 - 0
TRA
79%
14%
7%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
TRA
0 - 2
LEV
13%
21%
65%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
TAM
1 - 2
TRA
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |