Paide vs Tallinna Kalev II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.1%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.7%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.4%
3.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
PAI
1 - 0
KAL
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
FLO
1 - 0
PAI
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LEV
1 - 2
PAI
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
NOM
0 - 4
PAI
17%
19%
64%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PAI
1 - 2
TAL
85%
11%
5%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Tallinna Kalev II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
TKA
9 - 0
RAP
92%
6%
2%
|
49 | 20 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
TKA
7 - 1
FAT
81%
12%
7%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
TJK
1 - 2
TKA
31%
23%
47%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
LAH
0 - 4
TKA
21%
22%
57%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
TKA
2 - 3
TAB
41%
23%
36%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |