Paide vs Stjarnan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
22.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
STJ
2 - 1
PAI
38%
24%
38%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
PAI
3 - 1
TAL
70%
18%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 1
BAL
67%
18%
15%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 2
PAI
28%
24%
48%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
PAI
2 - 2
TRA
74%
17%
9%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Stjarnan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
IAA
1 - 3
STJ
39%
25%
37%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
STJ
2 - 1
PAI
38%
24%
38%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
STJ
2 - 0
FYL
66%
19%
15%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
LIN
3 - 2
STJ
44%
23%
33%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
STJ
2 - 0
LIN
47%
22%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |