Paide vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.6%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.2%
5-0
7.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
+5
9.8%
4-0
12.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.7%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
7.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.1%
2.2%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
KUR
2 - 1
PAI
15%
21%
64%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
TRA
1 - 2
PAI
17%
23%
61%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
PAI
5 - 0
TJK
81%
13%
7%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
PAI
0 - 1
LEV
47%
22%
31%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
TAL
0 - 3
PAI
14%
21%
65%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
TJK
3 - 0
PAR
77%
14%
9%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 2
FLO
7%
16%
77%
|
43 | 77 | 34 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 2
TAM
27%
23%
50%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
TRA
3 - 1
PAR
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
KUR
3 - 2
PAR
70%
18%
13%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |