Paide vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
31.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2015 |
PAI
1 - 5
LEV
9%
17%
74%
|
48 | 76 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2015 |
TIN
2 - 3
PAI
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
PAI
0 - 2
KAL
10%
17%
74%
|
47 | 76 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2015 |
PAI
1 - 0
TRA
48%
23%
30%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
TAM
3 - 2
PAI
49%
25%
27%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 1
TUL
55%
21%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2015 |
SIK
0 - 0
PAR
78%
14%
8%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 3
KAL
12%
21%
67%
|
47 | 76 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 2
FLO
9%
16%
75%
|
47 | 76 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
LEV
3 - 0
PAR
79%
14%
7%
|
48 | 74 | 26 | -1 |