Paide vs Nõmme United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
2º
4º
3º
14
7º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 84 |
1º
|
99% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 72 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 69 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 69 |
4º
|
41.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 43 |
5º
|
61% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 40 |
6º
|
38.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
34.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 35 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 32 |
9º
|
63% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 22 |
10º
|
94.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
51.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
48.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 94.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
KAL
2 - 4
PAI
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TAM
1 - 3
PAI
21%
26%
54%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 0
PAR
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 1
HÄC
31%
23%
46%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
HÄC
6 - 1
PAI
69%
17%
14%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Nõmme United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
NOM
2 - 2
KUR
48%
24%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
NOM
1 - 1
TAL
48%
23%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 0
NOM
69%
18%
13%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
HJP
3 - 0
NOM
51%
21%
29%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TAM
1 - 1
NOM
34%
25%
41%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |