Paide vs Nõmme United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
72
2º
4º
3º
15
7º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
70 | 70 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
KAL
2 - 4
PAI
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TAM
1 - 3
PAI
21%
26%
54%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 0
PAR
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 1
HÄC
31%
23%
46%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
HÄC
6 - 1
PAI
69%
17%
14%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Nõmme United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
NOM
2 - 2
KUR
48%
24%
29%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
NOM
1 - 1
TAL
48%
23%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 0
NOM
69%
18%
13%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
HJP
3 - 0
NOM
51%
21%
29%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TAM
1 - 1
NOM
34%
25%
41%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |