Paide vs Nõmme United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
12.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
PAI
0 - 3
FLO
12%
19%
69%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
LEV
7 - 1
PAI
81%
14%
5%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
TRA
3 - 1
PAI
47%
26%
28%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
PAI
3 - 0
TAM
66%
18%
15%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
PAI
3 - 2
TRA
58%
21%
21%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Nõmme United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
NOM
5 - 1
FCA
96%
3%
1%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
PJK
0 - 1
NOM
42%
23%
36%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
NOM
12 - 2
IMA
94%
4%
2%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2016 |
NOM
24 - 0
OIS
94%
4%
2%
|
41 | 7 | 34 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
SJK
1 - 1
NOM
18%
17%
65%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -1 |