Paide vs Kuressaare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
7.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 0
PAI
49%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PAI
2 - 1
FLO
48%
23%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PAI
3 - 1
NOM
62%
20%
18%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 3
PAI
17%
24%
58%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
TAL
1 - 1
PAI
33%
24%
44%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Kuressaare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
KUR
3 - 0
TAL
33%
25%
42%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
3 - 2
KUR
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
KUR
0 - 6
LEV
20%
24%
56%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
KUR
0 - 6
KAL
31%
27%
43%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
GRO
5 - 1
KUR
62%
19%
19%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |