Paide vs Kuressaare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
6.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
3º
7º
3º
43
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
PAI
2 - 1
TRA
85%
11%
4%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
FLO
2 - 3
PAI
55%
22%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
PAI
1 - 0
FSM
87%
9%
4%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
KUR
2 - 0
PAI
22%
22%
56%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
HON
4 - 0
PAI
40%
25%
36%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Kuressaare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
KUR
1 - 1
HJP
48%
24%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
KUR
3 - 1
FKJ
57%
22%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
NOM
3 - 1
KUR
38%
23%
39%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
KUR
2 - 0
PAI
22%
22%
56%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
KUR
1 - 1
KAL
27%
23%
50%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |