Paide vs Ararat-Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
16.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
AVA
0 - 0
PAI
42%
24%
34%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
PAI
1 - 2
DTB
63%
19%
18%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
DTB
2 - 3
PAI
50%
23%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
TRA
1 - 1
PAI
12%
22%
67%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
TJK
1 - 2
PAI
20%
23%
57%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
AVA
0 - 0
PAI
42%
24%
34%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 1
AVA
42%
27%
32%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 2
AVA
35%
29%
36%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 0
VAN
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2022 |
AVA
0 - 1
NOA
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |