Paide vs Bala Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
14.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 2
PAI
28%
24%
48%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
PAI
2 - 2
TRA
74%
17%
9%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
KUR
0 - 2
PAI
29%
26%
44%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2024 |
PAI
0 - 1
PAR
81%
14%
6%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
TAL
2 - 5
PAI
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 2
PAI
28%
24%
48%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
COL
2 - 0
BAL
24%
22%
54%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
LAR
2 - 1
BAL
58%
21%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
PFC
1 - 1
BAL
4%
11%
85%
|
66 | 8 | 58 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CAE
2 - 2
BAL
39%
25%
36%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |