Paide II vs Tartu Welco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
56.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
7º
10º
9º
48
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 78 |
1º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 70 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 69 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 62 |
4º
|
74.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 49 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 48 |
6º
|
40% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 44 |
7º
|
53.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 36 |
8º
|
82% | |
|
|
9º
|
16 | 24 |
9º
|
82.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 19 |
10º
|
83.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 96% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
99% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
FCT
3 - 0
PAI
72%
16%
12%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PAI
3 - 1
LEV
25%
23%
52%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +2 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
TKA
3 - 5
PAI
66%
17%
17%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 2
FCE
49%
22%
29%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
HJP
6 - 0
PAI
80%
13%
7%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Tartu Welco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
WEL
1 - 1
LEV
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
VJK
2 - 4
WEL
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 2
FLO
40%
25%
36%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
WEL
5 - 2
TKA
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 1
WEL
47%
24%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |