Paide II vs Tartu Welco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
45%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
7º
10º
9º
38
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 76 |
1º
|
82.5% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 69 |
2º
|
47% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 67 |
3º
|
43% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 59 |
4º
|
52% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 56 |
5º
|
53% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 46 |
6º
|
65.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 37 |
7º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 36 |
8º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
16 | 28 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 24 |
10º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
4.5% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
13.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
82% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
TAB
0 - 1
PAI
63%
18%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
PAI
0 - 1
TKA
38%
23%
39%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FLO
2 - 0
PAI
71%
16%
14%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 2
FCT
37%
22%
41%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PAI
0 - 4
FLO
29%
21%
50%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Tartu Welco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
WEL
3 - 0
FCT
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 0
TAB
45%
23%
32%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FCE
1 - 0
WEL
28%
24%
48%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
KUR
1 - 6
WEL
31%
24%
46%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
WEL
3 - 1
FAT
60%
21%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |