Paide II vs Nõmme United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.5%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
75.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
10º
7º
90
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LEV
2 - 2
PAI
67%
19%
15%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FCT
7 - 1
PAI
56%
21%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
VJK
0 - 1
PAI
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
PAI
0 - 1
FCE
56%
21%
23%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
JKJ
2 - 5
PAI
10%
15%
74%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Nõmme United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
NOM
5 - 2
FCE
85%
11%
5%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
JKJ
1 - 3
NOM
6%
12%
82%
|
64 | 25 | 39 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NOM
2 - 2
TJK
86%
10%
4%
|
64 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
NOM
11 - 1
ESV
90%
7%
3%
|
63 | 20 | 43 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
NOM
5 - 0
FCT
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |