Paide II vs Harju JK Laagri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
71.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
7º
10º
9º
78
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 1
PAI
64%
20%
17%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
PAI
0 - 3
VJK
19%
24%
57%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
FCE
3 - 1
PAI
53%
22%
25%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
PAI
2 - 4
FLO
18%
21%
61%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TKA
3 - 0
PAI
61%
19%
21%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FCE
2 - 1
HJP
15%
20%
66%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HJP
4 - 0
LEV
71%
17%
12%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
TKA
2 - 6
HJP
22%
21%
57%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
HJP
1 - 1
WEL
61%
20%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
HJP
3 - 0
NOM
51%
21%
29%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |