Pahang vs Perak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
3º
10º
9º
23
5º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 49 |
2º
|
96.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 42 |
3º
|
79% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 35 |
4º
|
37% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 34 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 31 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 30 |
7º
|
22% | |
|
|
5º
|
23 | 27 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
16 | 27 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 25 |
10º
|
27% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 21 |
11º
|
78.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 16 |
12º
|
79.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 11 |
13º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pahang
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
KED
2 - 2
PAH
40%
25%
35%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
PAH
5 - 1
PDR
56%
23%
22%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
TER
1 - 1
PAH
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
PAH
2 - 3
SAB
45%
26%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
PAH
1 - 1
SEL
32%
25%
43%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Perak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
PER
1 - 0
KUL
23%
24%
53%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
NEG
0 - 1
PER
57%
21%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
PER
1 - 2
KFA
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
MPK
1 - 3
PER
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PER
0 - 2
PUL
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |