Pagny Sur Moselle vs Illzach Modenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
23.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pagny Sur Moselle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
PAG
1 - 1
VAU
69%
17%
14%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
PAG
2 - 1
MET
51%
22%
28%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 0
PAG
73%
16%
12%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
PAG
1 - 0
FOR
57%
21%
23%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
FCS
2 - 0
PAG
49%
23%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Illzach Modenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
MEZ
0 - 0
ILL
46%
21%
33%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
ILL
0 - 0
STR
29%
24%
47%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MET
1 - 1
ILL
56%
21%
23%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
ILL
0 - 1
SCH
19%
22%
59%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
ILL
1 - 4
SAR
18%
21%
62%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |