Pagny Sur Moselle vs Erstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
9.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pagny Sur Moselle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
SAR
5 - 2
PAG
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
PAG
0 - 1
LUN
34%
23%
43%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
PAG
1 - 3
TRO
12%
16%
72%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
RCE
4 - 0
PAG
65%
20%
16%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
PAG
2 - 1
NAN
16%
18%
66%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Erstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
ERS
1 - 6
AMN
9%
15%
75%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2018 |
ERS
0 - 2
RCE
11%
17%
72%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
SAR
6 - 0
ERS
88%
8%
3%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
ERS
0 - 5
FCS
10%
16%
74%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
MEZ
1 - 1
ERS
79%
14%
8%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | +1 |