Pagny Sur Moselle Sub 19 vs Montferrand Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
31.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+214%
+117%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
5º
13º
13º
18
4º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 36 |
6º
|
51% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
75% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
75% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
75% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
51% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pagny Sur Moselle Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MET
4 - 0
PAG
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
PAG
0 - 1
STR
17%
18%
65%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SOC
1 - 2
PAG
75%
15%
11%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PAG
1 - 1
DIJ
20%
20%
60%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
PAG
1 - 1
TRO
13%
17%
70%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Montferrand Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
SOC
20%
21%
59%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BBP
3 - 2
MON
59%
20%
21%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
BOB
1 - 0
MON
79%
12%
8%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MON
0 - 0
CLE
17%
18%
65%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
ORL
22%
21%
57%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | +1 |