Pagham vs Crowborough Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
71.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pagham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
EAS
2 - 1
PAG
68%
19%
13%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
PAG
1 - 1
MEF
36%
22%
42%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
SHO
2 - 4
PAG
48%
21%
31%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
PAG
0 - 0
NEW
7%
13%
79%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
HAY
2 - 0
PAG
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Crowborough Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CRO
1 - 1
NEW
42%
22%
36%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
AUC
0 - 6
CRO
6%
14%
80%
|
33 | 9 | 24 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
EAS
0 - 0
CRO
32%
24%
44%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CRO
1 - 0
HOR
84%
11%
5%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
CRO
3 - 2
LCO
77%
15%
9%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |