Paganese vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
59%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SIC
2 - 2
PAG
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
PAG
2 - 0
MON
15%
21%
64%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
VIT
2 - 1
PAG
71%
18%
11%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
PAG
2 - 2
AVE
17%
21%
63%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
BAR
3 - 2
PAG
79%
15%
6%
|
36 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
FRA
1 - 1
CAS
47%
27%
26%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
CAT
2 - 1
FRA
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
FRA
1 - 1
REG
46%
28%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
USC
4 - 0
FRA
73%
18%
10%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
FRA
2 - 1
NOV
36%
27%
37%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |